In this few days, the HSI has rosed from 11540 (10/3/09) to 14244 (26/03/09).
Total points: 2700 points in 13 days. Then HSI has dropped 4 days continuously from 14244 to 13419 approximate 825. The lowest points on the second day is 13419, the lowest points on the third day is 13419 and the lowest points on the third day is 13409. On the fifth day, it suddenly has a big gap up and its single day rose over 1000.
From TA, we look at the last fourth days behavior, it shows that they did not able to push the HSI index downward.
From the Put/Call ratio on Warrent: it has PUT > Call. It implies Individual think it will goes down. Therefore, we must use the theory of contrarian to think like Institution Investor. The market must push up.
I did SC15200 + 133 at 13500 immediately close it. Since after the analysis, I found that the it should go up. I bought the wrong direction.
Immediately leave the battlefield when the direction is against your decision.