2009/04/09

Safe area to be traded







Contract
Bid Ask Last Traded High Low Volume Prev. Day Settlement Price Net Change Prev. Day Open Interest
HSI C Apr-09 - 15000 - 495 480 551 457 443 388 92 5,007
HSI P Apr-09 - 12000 25 40 32 57 23 174 80 -48 3,076
HSI C Apr-09 - 16000 167 177 170 196 149 610 131 39 3,016
HSI P Apr-09 - 11000 8 20 17 20 10 410 30 -13 2,641
HSI P Apr-09 - 13000 95 100 98 152 71 1,552 203 -105 2,619
HSI C Apr-09 - 14000 1,045 1,094 1,108 1,174 1,020 58 880 228 2,543
HSI C Apr-09 - 13000 1,833 1,904 1,926 1,930 1,865 6 1,608 318 2,475
HSI P Apr-09 - 14000 285 303 287 375 235 873 467 -180 1,911
HSI C Apr-09 - 13800 - - 1,310 1,338 1,163 11 1,004 306 1,868



From the Apr 08 Closed, the OI changes.
We found that HSI, the biggest OI @ C 15000 and C16000 AND OI @P 12000 and P11000.
The OI of P11000 was from 4691 (Mar09) down to 2641 (Apr09). It shows that those Professional Investors expected it will not drop over 12000, therefore, they change 11000 to 12000. And from C 16000 to C15000.

Therefore, the HSI will close between 15000 < x <12000.
Have a brave gut investor trade SC 15000/15200 (ATM), can take around +480 /+390
The safe area we can trade at the second place 16000 & 11000, take around +170/130

We are going to have a long weekend from 9/04-11/04. The time value will be deducted in 4days.
Wish good luck.

Let us to identify our guess whether it is correct.

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